Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 6.490835 7.419592 8.447549 9.671937 11.093510 12.695493 14.642446
2025-03-09 5.129736 6.298913 7.697943 9.503469 11.783552 14.582486 18.302030
2025-03-16 4.276834 5.528904 7.114046 9.283529 12.199351 16.016120 21.445450
2025-03-23 3.900090 5.262738 7.071283 9.672589 13.359795 18.461151 26.161677
2025-03-30 3.525679 4.932461 6.875652 9.791593 14.118222 20.398813 30.385649
2025-04-06 3.175825 4.584581 6.599426 9.737490 14.585897 21.931689 34.171573
2025-04-13 2.873270 4.265638 6.320121 9.629074 14.932637 23.288465 37.824168
2025-04-20 2.715686 4.142120 6.311350 9.921085 15.918490 25.738772 43.568877
2025-04-27 2.560666 4.003860 6.260457 10.130957 16.780705 28.069920 49.412799
2025-05-04 2.457914 3.936080 6.310182 10.503497 17.947080 31.040009 56.801612
2025-05-11 2.245427 3.668626 6.006630 10.239974 17.966193 31.974326 60.500349
2025-05-18 2.083638 3.470912 5.800287 10.121128 18.224011 33.358904 65.244334
2025-05-25 1.937643 3.290178 5.610990 10.020735 18.517879 34.871092 70.527038
2025-06-01 1.798131 3.108929 5.404643 9.867327 18.691691 36.167863 75.553423
2025-06-08 1.662226 2.922587 5.172447 9.640237 18.691710 37.108145 79.935083
2025-06-15 1.626510 2.914716 5.264618 10.045957 20.005740 40.909813 91.319736
2025-06-22 1.556261 2.836602 5.217855 10.170028 20.747743 43.583229 100.506268
2025-06-29 1.469829 2.720830 5.089025 10.113632 21.096576 45.432165 107.991394
2025-07-06 1.384201 2.599964 4.940210 10.000621 21.307280 46.990861 114.996712
2025-07-13 1.350864 2.578770 4.986723 10.305021 22.483845 50.933871 128.829027
2025-07-20 1.310318 2.539889 4.993844 10.523819 23.487713 54.593913 142.550625
2025-07-27 1.288443 2.537007 5.074347 10.912248 24.934812 59.533536 160.725869
2025-08-03 1.206257 2.403649 4.870685 10.637480 24.749422 60.323588 167.119030